Second pass at: Orforglipron as a non-peptide: what changes when the molecule is small Writing it up because I had to work it out twice and would rather nobody else did.
Comparing SURPASS-4 (Lancet, 2021) with PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med, 2019) and finding the comparison harder than it looks.
Different populations, different durations, different endpoints defined slightly differently, and in one case a different estimand. People compare the headline percentages anyway, including me until recently.
Is there a defensible way to put these side by side, or is the honest answer that there is not and we should stop?