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Evidence · Journal club · continued

Journal club: is percentage weight change the right endpoint? posts 61–90

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1 · go to the accepted answer.

TL
t.lindqvistTL2 Moderator12 Apr 2026 · edited#61
taper_table, post #33: SURMOUNT-OSA (N Engl J Med 2024): Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea, using an objective physiological endpoint. Notable because soft endpoints are avoided. Two parallel trials addressed the confounder directly. Go to post

SURPASS-2 (N Engl J Med 2021): Direct comparison of tirzepatide with semaglutide 1.0 mg. The 1.0 mg dose is not the highest available, which is the central and legitimate criticism of the head-to-head evidence.

2 likes in reply to #33 4mo
M
MSaarinenTL3Regular12 Apr 2026#62
s.chowdhury, post #19: STEP 1 (N Engl J Med 2021): The pivotal obesity trial for semaglutide and the reference point for most subsequent comparison. Mean weight reduction was substantially larger than anything previously achieved pharmacologically. Go to post

SURMOUNT-OSA (N Engl J Med 2024): Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea, using an objective physiological endpoint. Notable because soft endpoints are avoided. Two parallel trials addressed the confounder directly.

0 likes in reply to #19 4mo
IB
i.brobergTL2 Moderator13 Apr 2026#63

I read post #61 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite.

SOUL (N Engl J Med 2025): Oral semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes. Extends the cardiovascular evidence to the oral formulation. Note that oral bioavailability is lower and more variable than injectable.

27 likes 3mo
JD
j.delacroixTL3Regular13 Apr 2026#64

This follows post #61 rather than contradicting it.

Thank you for the correction. I have edited my earlier post with a note rather than silently, so the thread still makes sense to read. The error was mine and it was the kind that comes from remembering a figure instead of looking it up.

13 likes 3mo
MM
m.malinowskiTL2 Moderator13 Apr 2026#65
VThorvaldsen, post #28: FLOW (N Engl J Med 2024): Semaglutide renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Stopped early for efficacy. Component-by-component analysis is essential because the components differ in how patient-important they are. Go to post

Critical appraisal template: (1) What did the trial set out to estimate? (2) Could the design answer that question? (3) Was the population sufficiently similar to your population to apply the results? (4) What was the absolute effect, not just the relative one? (5) What are the two strongest criticisms available?

0 likes in reply to #28 3mo
HM
h.mukherjeeTL114 Apr 2026#66
AA
a.almeidaTL2 Moderator14 Apr 2026#67

Having read the exchange above, I think I was wrong earlier in this topic and I want to say so plainly rather than quietly editing.

The correction was fair and I had been repeating something I had not checked carefully enough.

19 likes 3mo
PS
p.silvaTL2 Moderator14 Apr 2026#68

Picking up post #65: that is the part I would want checked first.

SELECT (N Engl J Med 2023): Semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes without diabetes. The first outcome trial in people without diabetes, which decoupled the cardiovascular argument from glucose control. Read the absolute numbers, not just the relative reduction.

8 likes 3mo
KR
k.roosTL2 Moderator15 Apr 2026#69

Worth separating two things that post #65 runs together.

Two things before anyone answers the substance.

First, the context in the first post is clear and specific. Second, the question is framed so that an answer can actually address it. Both are the norm here and both matter more than they sound.

0 likes 3mo
AW
a.weissTL2 Moderator15 Apr 2026#70
t.abubakar, post #36: I read post #34 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite. Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent. Go to post

post #69 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit.

FLOW (N Engl J Med 2024): Semaglutide renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Stopped early for efficacy. Component-by-component analysis is essential because the components differ in how patient-important they are.

28 likes in reply to #36 3mo
SC
s.coelhoTL2 Moderator15 Apr 2026#71

SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation.

0 likes 3mo
JM
j.mwangiTL4 Moderator16 Apr 2026#72

TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it.

2 likes 3mo
JS
j.sorensenTL2 Moderator16 Apr 2026#73
l.salinas, post #16: On post #12 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification. TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it. Go to post

I disagree with the reply above, and I think the disagreement is substantive rather than terminological.

The distinction being drawn does not survive when you look at the published data for this specific question. I would be glad to be shown wrong on this, because the version I am arguing against is more convenient.

9 likes in reply to #16 3mo
JC
j.castellanosTL216 Apr 2026#74
VS
v.salgadoTL2 Moderator17 Apr 2026 · edited#75

FLOW (N Engl J Med 2024): Semaglutide renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Stopped early for efficacy. Component-by-component analysis is essential because the components differ in how patient-important they are.

0 likes 3mo
LC
lu.cabreraTL2 Moderator17 Apr 2026#76

SELECT (N Engl J Med 2023): Semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes without diabetes. The first outcome trial in people without diabetes, which decoupled the cardiovascular argument from glucose control. Read the absolute numbers, not just the relative reduction.

1 like 3mo
CV
c.vermeulenTL2 Moderator17 Apr 2026#77

post #76 answers the question as asked. The question underneath it is different.

STEP 1 (N Engl J Med 2021): The pivotal obesity trial for semaglutide and the reference point for most subsequent comparison. Mean weight reduction was substantially larger than anything previously achieved pharmacologically.

6 likes 3mo
MS
m.silvaTL2 Moderator18 Apr 2026#78

On post #74 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification.

Practical note that does not fit anywhere else. Whatever you conclude from this topic, write down what you did and when. The single most useful thing in your own records is not any individual result; it is that they are dated and consecutive.

15 likes 3mo
G
GDashwoodTL3Regular18 Apr 2026#79
t.abubakar, post #36: I read post #34 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite. Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent. Go to post

This follows post #76 rather than contradicting it.

For anyone arriving from a search: the marked solution above is the direct answer, and the replies underneath it add the caveats that make it safe to use.

30 likes in reply to #36 3mo
LF
l.ferreiraTL2 Moderator18 Apr 2026#80

I read post #78 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite.

SURMOUNT-OSA (N Engl J Med 2024): Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea, using an objective physiological endpoint. Notable because soft endpoints are avoided. Two parallel trials addressed the confounder directly.

0 likes 3mo
SO
se.okaforTL2 Moderator18 Apr 2026 · edited#81

Critical appraisal template: (1) What did the trial set out to estimate? (2) Could the design answer that question? (3) Was the population sufficiently similar to your population to apply the results? (4) What was the absolute effect, not just the relative one? (5) What are the two strongest criticisms available?

1 like 3mo
SB
sharps_binTL2Regular19 Apr 2026#82
cannula_trace, post #51: PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug. Go to post

Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent.

0 likes in reply to #51 3mo
IB
i.boatengTL2 Moderator19 Apr 2026#83

On post #79 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification.

TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it.

17 likes 3mo
TD
titration_diaryTL3Regular19 Apr 2026#84

I disagree with the reply above, and I think the disagreement is substantive rather than terminological.

The distinction being drawn does not survive when you look at the published data for this specific question. I would be glad to be shown wrong on this, because the version I am arguing against is more convenient.

7 likes 3mo
HF
h.falkTL2 Moderator20 Apr 2026#85

SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation.

0 likes 3mo
EF
e.ferreiraTL3Regular20 Apr 2026#86
KForsberg, post #45: Coming back to post #43, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer. SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation. Go to post

SURPASS-2 (N Engl J Med 2021): Direct comparison of tirzepatide with semaglutide 1.0 mg. The 1.0 mg dose is not the highest available, which is the central and legitimate criticism of the head-to-head evidence.

0 likes in reply to #45 3mo
BK
b.kowalskiTL2 Moderator20 Apr 2026#87
n.torrence, post #26: post #25 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit. FLOW (N Engl J Med 2024): Semaglutide renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Stopped early for efficacy. Component-by-component analysis is essential because the components differ in how patient-important they are. Go to post

Worth separating two things that post #83 runs together.

Practical note that does not fit anywhere else. Whatever you conclude from this topic, write down what you did and when. The single most useful thing in your own records is not any individual result; it is that they are dated and consecutive.

12 likes in reply to #26 3mo
DB
dr_bhattacharyaTL3Physician21 Apr 2026#88

post #87 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit.

PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug.

4 likes 3mo
RE
r.erdoganTL2 Moderator21 Apr 2026#89
i.wojcik, post #6: Thank you for the correction. I have edited my earlier post with a note rather than silently, so the thread still makes sense to read. The error was mine and it was the kind that comes from remembering a figure instead of looking it up. Go to post

Coming back to post #87, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer.

SELECT (N Engl J Med 2023): Semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes without diabetes. The first outcome trial in people without diabetes, which decoupled the cardiovascular argument from glucose control. Read the absolute numbers, not just the relative reduction.

0 likes in reply to #6 3mo
LG
lc_gradientTL3Analytical chemist21 Apr 2026#90

I disagree with the reply above, and I think the disagreement is substantive rather than terminological.

The distinction being drawn does not survive when you look at the published data for this specific question. I would be glad to be shown wrong on this, because the version I am arguing against is more convenient.

25 likes 3mo