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Evidence · Journal club · continued

[2026 update] Journal club: SURPASS-2 and the semaglutide 1 mg comparator posts 31–60

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1.

IL
i.lehtinenTL2 Moderator13 Nov 2024#31
endpoint_margin, post #24: TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it. Go to post

STEP 1 (N Engl J Med 2021): The pivotal obesity trial for semaglutide and the reference point for most subsequent comparison. Mean weight reduction was substantially larger than anything previously achieved pharmacologically.

8 likes in reply to #24 20mo
UC
unit_conversionTL3Regular14 Nov 2024#32

Coming back to post #30, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer.

Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent.

18 likes 20mo
ES
e.steinerTL2 Moderator15 Nov 2024#33

post #32 answers the question as asked. The question underneath it is different.

I disagree with the reply above, and I think the disagreement is substantive rather than terminological.

The distinction being drawn does not survive when you look at the published data for this specific question. I would be glad to be shown wrong on this, because the version I am arguing against is more convenient.

0 likes 20mo
QZ
q.zhao_qaTL3Quality assurance16 Nov 2024#34

PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug.

0 likes 20mo
FH
f.haddadTL2 Moderator17 Nov 2024#35
r.coelho, post #23: SOUL (N Engl J Med 2025): Oral semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes. Extends the cardiovascular evidence to the oral formulation. Note that oral bioavailability is lower and more variable than injectable. Go to post

TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it.

0 likes in reply to #23 20mo
ER
eire_readerTL2Regional · IE18 Nov 2024#36
unit_conversion, post #32: Coming back to post #30, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer. Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent. Go to post

Practical note that does not fit anywhere else. Whatever you conclude from this topic, write down what you did and when. The single most useful thing in your own records is not any individual result; it is that they are dated and consecutive.

0 likes in reply to #32 20mo
MB
m.balogunTL2 Moderator20 Nov 2024#37

post #36 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit.

Critical appraisal template: (1) What did the trial set out to estimate? (2) Could the design answer that question? (3) Was the population sufficiently similar to your population to apply the results? (4) What was the absolute effect, not just the relative one? (5) What are the two strongest criticisms available?

0 likes 20mo
PN
p.novotnyTL2Regular21 Nov 2024 · edited#38

Worth separating two things that post #34 runs together.

SURPASS-2 (N Engl J Med 2021): Direct comparison of tirzepatide with semaglutide 1.0 mg. The 1.0 mg dose is not the highest available, which is the central and legitimate criticism of the head-to-head evidence.

2 likes 20mo
NO
n.okwuosaTL2 Moderator22 Nov 2024#39

Picking up post #36: that is the part I would want checked first.

SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation.

0 likes 20mo
PI
p.iyer_pharmdTL3Pharmacist23 Nov 2024#40
cannula_trace, post #9: FLOW (N Engl J Med 2024): Semaglutide renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Stopped early for efficacy. Component-by-component analysis is essential because the components differ in how patient-important they are. Go to post

FLOW (N Engl J Med 2024): Semaglutide renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Stopped early for efficacy. Component-by-component analysis is essential because the components differ in how patient-important they are.

1 like in reply to #9 20mo
ST
sterile_tableTL3Regular24 Nov 2024#41

SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation.

3 likes 20mo
MR
m.ramosTL2 Moderator25 Nov 2024#42

I disagree with the reply above, and I think the disagreement is substantive rather than terminological.

The distinction being drawn does not survive when you look at the published data for this specific question. I would be glad to be shown wrong on this, because the version I am arguing against is more convenient.

0 likes 20mo
CR
curious_readerTL1Member26 Nov 2024#43

Worth separating two things that post #39 runs together.

SELECT (N Engl J Med 2023): Semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes without diabetes. The first outcome trial in people without diabetes, which decoupled the cardiovascular argument from glucose control. Read the absolute numbers, not just the relative reduction.

22 likes 20mo
JI
j.ivaturiTL2 Moderator27 Nov 2024#44
e.dalgleish, post #1: Journal club: SURPASS-2 and the semaglutide 1 mg comparator Writing it up because I had to work it out twice and would rather nobody else did. Session topic: SURPASS-4 ( Lancet , 2021). Please read it before posting; the discussion is much better when everyone has. The question I would like us to start with is what the trial set out to… Go to post

post #43 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit.

FLOW (N Engl J Med 2024): Semaglutide renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Stopped early for efficacy. Component-by-component analysis is essential because the components differ in how patient-important they are.

10 likes in reply to #1 20mo
RM
r.marsdenTL3Regular28 Nov 2024#45

Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent.

5 likes 20mo
FF
f.fontaineTL229 Nov 2024#46
P
PSundbergTL2Member1 Dec 2024#47

On post #43 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification.

PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug.

30 likes 20mo
YE
y.eriksenTL2 Moderator2 Dec 2024#48
r.bakken, post #6: For anyone arriving from a search: the marked solution above is the direct answer, and the replies underneath it add the caveats that make it safe to use. Go to post

Critical appraisal template: (1) What did the trial set out to estimate? (2) Could the design answer that question? (3) Was the population sufficiently similar to your population to apply the results? (4) What was the absolute effect, not just the relative one? (5) What are the two strongest criticisms available?

15 likes in reply to #6 20mo
PN
priorauth_notesTL2Regular3 Dec 2024#49

SURPASS-2 (N Engl J Med 2021): Direct comparison of tirzepatide with semaglutide 1.0 mg. The 1.0 mg dose is not the highest available, which is the central and legitimate criticism of the head-to-head evidence.

29 likes 20mo
RZ
ro.zielinskiTL2 Moderator4 Dec 2024#50

This follows post #47 rather than contradicting it.

SURMOUNT-OSA (N Engl J Med 2024): Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea, using an objective physiological endpoint. Notable because soft endpoints are avoided. Two parallel trials addressed the confounder directly.

14 likes 20mo
DO
d.oyelaranTL3Pharmacist5 Dec 2024#51
sterile_table, post #41: SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation. Go to post

post #50 answers the question as asked. The question underneath it is different.

SOUL (N Engl J Med 2025): Oral semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes. Extends the cardiovascular evidence to the oral formulation. Note that oral bioavailability is lower and more variable than injectable.

23 likes in reply to #41 20mo
NK
n.krastevTL2 Moderator6 Dec 2024#52

On post #48 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification.

TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it.

0 likes 20mo
BD
baseline_driftTL2Analytical chemist7 Dec 2024#53

Thank you for the correction. I have edited my earlier post with a note rather than silently, so the thread still makes sense to read. The error was mine and it was the kind that comes from remembering a figure instead of looking it up.

3 likes 20mo
NO
n.oseiTL2 Moderator8 Dec 2024#54

SURMOUNT-OSA (N Engl J Med 2024): Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea, using an objective physiological endpoint. Notable because soft endpoints are avoided. Two parallel trials addressed the confounder directly.

10 likes 20mo
PM
physio_marchettiTL2Physiotherapist9 Dec 2024#55
ro.zielinski, post #50: This follows post #47 rather than contradicting it. SURMOUNT-OSA (N Engl J Med 2024): Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea, using an objective physiological endpoint. Notable because soft endpoints are avoided. Two parallel trials addressed the confounder directly. Go to post

post #54 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit.

PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug.

3 likes in reply to #50 20mo
JI
j.iyerTL2 Moderator10 Dec 2024#56
cannula_trace, post #9: FLOW (N Engl J Med 2024): Semaglutide renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Stopped early for efficacy. Component-by-component analysis is essential because the components differ in how patient-important they are. Go to post

TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it.

11 likes in reply to #9 20mo
CL
coldchain_liuTL3Regular11 Dec 2024 · edited#57

Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent.

32 likes 20mo
SK
s.kuuselaTL212 Dec 2024#58
EF
e.ferrariTL2 Moderator13 Dec 2024#59

For anyone arriving from a search: the marked solution above is the direct answer, and the replies underneath it add the caveats that make it safe to use.

0 likes 19mo
PA
p.amankwahTL2 Moderator14 Dec 2024#60
m.dumitru, post #15: post #14 answers the question as asked. The question underneath it is different. I disagree with the reply above, and I think the disagreement is substantive rather than terminological. The distinction being drawn does not survive when you look at the published data for this specific question. I would be glad to be shown wrong on this,… Go to post

SOUL (N Engl J Med 2025): Oral semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes. Extends the cardiovascular evidence to the oral formulation. Note that oral bioavailability is lower and more variable than injectable.

1 like in reply to #15 19mo