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Evidence · Journal club · continued

Journal club: indirect comparison between two programmes, defended and attacked posts 31–60

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1.

TK
t.kulkarniTL3Regular14 Apr 2026 · edited#31

This follows post #28 rather than contradicting it.

SOUL (N Engl J Med 2025): Oral semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes. Extends the cardiovascular evidence to the oral formulation. Note that oral bioavailability is lower and more variable than injectable.

26 likes 3mo
GO
g.oyelaranTL2 Moderator16 Apr 2026#32
n.torrence, post #7: PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug. Go to post

I read post #30 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite.

Practical note that does not fit anywhere else. Whatever you conclude from this topic, write down what you did and when. The single most useful thing in your own records is not any individual result; it is that they are dated and consecutive.

0 likes in reply to #7 3mo
RJ
r.jhannsdttirTL3Regular17 Apr 2026#33

SURPASS-2 (N Engl J Med 2021): Direct comparison of tirzepatide with semaglutide 1.0 mg. The 1.0 mg dose is not the highest available, which is the central and legitimate criticism of the head-to-head evidence.

2 likes 3mo
BF
b.friskTL218 Apr 2026#34
V
VPoulsenTL3Regular19 Apr 2026#35
ni.stanescu, post #4: This follows post #3 rather than contradicting it. SURMOUNT-OSA (N Engl J Med 2024): Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea, using an objective physiological endpoint. Notable because soft endpoints are avoided. Two parallel trials addressed the confounder directly. Go to post

Picking up post #32: that is the part I would want checked first.

Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent.

19 likes in reply to #4 3mo
VB
v.bergstromTL2 Moderator21 Apr 2026#36
f.fenwick, post #12: On post #8 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification. SELECT (N Engl J Med 2023): Semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes without diabetes. The first outcome trial in people without diabetes, which decoupled the cardiovascular argument from glucose control. Read the absolute numbers, not just the relative reduction. Go to post

Critical appraisal template: (1) What did the trial set out to estimate? (2) Could the design answer that question? (3) Was the population sufficiently similar to your population to apply the results? (4) What was the absolute effect, not just the relative one? (5) What are the two strongest criticisms available?

0 likes in reply to #12 3mo
CC
crossref_checkTL3Wiki editor22 Apr 2026#37

I disagree with the reply above, and I think the disagreement is substantive rather than terminological.

The distinction being drawn does not survive when you look at the published data for this specific question. I would be glad to be shown wrong on this, because the version I am arguing against is more convenient.

0 likes 3mo
ND
n.duarteTL2 Moderator23 Apr 2026#38

TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it.

5 likes 3mo
SF
sterile_fileTL3Regular24 Apr 2026#39
t.kulkarni, post #31: This follows post #28 rather than contradicting it. SOUL (N Engl J Med 2025): Oral semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes. Extends the cardiovascular evidence to the oral formulation. Note that oral bioavailability is lower and more variable than injectable. Go to post

PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug.

13 likes in reply to #31 3mo
NC
n.chowdhuryTL2 Moderator25 Apr 2026#40

STEP 1 (N Engl J Med 2021): The pivotal obesity trial for semaglutide and the reference point for most subsequent comparison. Mean weight reduction was substantially larger than anything previously achieved pharmacologically.

27 likes 3mo
FN
formulary_notesTL3Regular27 Apr 2026#41
pe.onwuka, post #6: STEP 1 (N Engl J Med 2021): The pivotal obesity trial for semaglutide and the reference point for most subsequent comparison. Mean weight reduction was substantially larger than anything previously achieved pharmacologically. Go to post

Coming back to post #39, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer.

Practical note that does not fit anywhere else. Whatever you conclude from this topic, write down what you did and when. The single most useful thing in your own records is not any individual result; it is that they are dated and consecutive.

0 likes in reply to #6 3mo
HL
h.lindqvistTL2 Moderator28 Apr 2026#42

SURMOUNT-OSA (N Engl J Med 2024): Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea, using an objective physiological endpoint. Notable because soft endpoints are avoided. Two parallel trials addressed the confounder directly.

29 likes 3mo
TH
TL4_HalvorsenTL4Leader · Journal club29 Apr 2026#43

FLOW (N Engl J Med 2024): Semaglutide renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Stopped early for efficacy. Component-by-component analysis is essential because the components differ in how patient-important they are.

10 likes 3mo
RE
r.ekstromTL2 Moderator30 Apr 2026 · edited#44

post #43 answers the question as asked. The question underneath it is different.

SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation.

3 likes 3mo
EF
endo_fellow_rkTL3Endocrinology fellow1 May 2026#45
t.tulloch, post #2: TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it. Go to post

I read post #43 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite.

PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug.

0 likes in reply to #2 3mo
TD
t.dumitruTL2 Moderator2 May 2026#46

This follows post #43 rather than contradicting it.

Critical appraisal template: (1) What did the trial set out to estimate? (2) Could the design answer that question? (3) Was the population sufficiently similar to your population to apply the results? (4) What was the absolute effect, not just the relative one? (5) What are the two strongest criticisms available?

22 likes 3mo
C
chromatogramTL4Analytical chemist3 May 2026#47

SOUL (N Engl J Med 2025): Oral semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes. Extends the cardiovascular evidence to the oral formulation. Note that oral bioavailability is lower and more variable than injectable.

6 likes 3mo
AW
a.wikstromTL2 Moderator5 May 2026#48

I disagree with the reply above, and I think the disagreement is substantive rather than terminological.

The distinction being drawn does not survive when you look at the published data for this specific question. I would be glad to be shown wrong on this, because the version I am arguing against is more convenient.

1 like 3mo
SL
s.leclercTL4 Moderator6 May 2026#49
Staff post. Actions described here are recorded in the public moderation log and may be challenged in Meta.

SELECT (N Engl J Med 2023): Semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes without diabetes. The first outcome trial in people without diabetes, which decoupled the cardiovascular argument from glucose control. Read the absolute numbers, not just the relative reduction.

2 likes 3mo
MB
m.brobergTL2 Moderator7 May 2026#50

Picking up post #47: that is the part I would want checked first.

SURPASS-2 (N Engl J Med 2021): Direct comparison of tirzepatide with semaglutide 1.0 mg. The 1.0 mg dose is not the highest available, which is the central and legitimate criticism of the head-to-head evidence.

0 likes 3mo
RR
r.restrepoTL2 Moderator8 May 2026#51
k.chukwu, post #13: Critical appraisal template: (1) What did the trial set out to estimate? (2) Could the design answer that question? (3) Was the population sufficiently similar to your population to apply the results? (4) What was the absolute effect, not just the relative one? (5) What are the two strongest criticisms available? Go to post

TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it.

11 likes in reply to #13 3mo
CL
c.lundgrenTL2 Moderator9 May 2026#52

Worth separating two things that post #48 runs together.

Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent.

24 likes 3mo
NN
n.nybergTL2 Moderator10 May 2026#53

STEP 1 (N Engl J Med 2021): The pivotal obesity trial for semaglutide and the reference point for most subsequent comparison. Mean weight reduction was substantially larger than anything previously achieved pharmacologically.

0 likes 3mo
ML
m.lehtinenTL2 Moderator11 May 2026#54

Having read the exchange above, I think I was wrong earlier in this topic and I want to say so plainly rather than quietly editing.

The correction was fair and I had been repeating something I had not checked carefully enough.

3 likes 3mo
CF
c.falkTL2 Moderator13 May 2026#55
buffer_margin, post #9: Worth separating two things that post #5 runs together. SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation. Go to post

Critical appraisal template: (1) What did the trial set out to estimate? (2) Could the design answer that question? (3) Was the population sufficiently similar to your population to apply the results? (4) What was the absolute effect, not just the relative one? (5) What are the two strongest criticisms available?

16 likes in reply to #9 3mo
AW
a.westergaardTL3Regular14 May 2026#56

PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug.

32 likes 2mo
DY
d.yilmazTL2 Moderator15 May 2026#57

Picking up post #54: that is the part I would want checked first.

Thank you for the correction. I have edited my earlier post with a note rather than silently, so the thread still makes sense to read. The error was mine and it was the kind that comes from remembering a figure instead of looking it up.

1 like 2mo
ML
m.lindqvistTL2 Moderator16 May 2026 · edited#58

Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent.

6 likes 2mo
AC
a.coelhoTL2 Moderator17 May 2026#59
ambient_review, post #3: I read the opening post twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite. SURPASS-2 (N Engl J Med 2021): Direct comparison of tirzepatide with semaglutide 1.0 mg. The 1.0 mg dose is not the highest available, which is the central and legitimate criticism of the head-to-head evidence. Go to post

post #58 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit.

STEP 1 (N Engl J Med 2021): The pivotal obesity trial for semaglutide and the reference point for most subsequent comparison. Mean weight reduction was substantially larger than anything previously achieved pharmacologically.

4 likes in reply to #3 2mo
CW
cohort_watchTL2Member18 May 2026#60
b.aalto, post #17: PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug. Go to post

Having read the exchange above, I think I was wrong earlier in this topic and I want to say so plainly rather than quietly editing.

The correction was fair and I had been repeating something I had not checked carefully enough.

12 likes in reply to #17 2mo