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Evidence · Journal club · continued

Journal club: STEP 1 and the treatment-policy estimand — does this still hold? posts 91–120

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1.

EV
e.verhoevenTL2 Moderator21 Apr 2025#91

Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent.

26 likes 15mo
LS
l.solbergTL2 Moderator21 Apr 2025#92

SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation.

12 likes 15mo
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mira.patelTL4 Admin21 Apr 2025#93
Staff post. Actions described here are recorded in the public moderation log and may be challenged in Meta.

Coming back to post #91, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer.

TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it.

2 likes 15mo
RL
r.laurentTL2 Moderator21 Apr 2025 · edited#94
g.amankwah, post #7: post #6 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit. SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation. Go to post

Picking up post #91: that is the part I would want checked first.

Critical appraisal template: (1) What did the trial set out to estimate? (2) Could the design answer that question? (3) Was the population sufficiently similar to your population to apply the results? (4) What was the absolute effect, not just the relative one? (5) What are the two strongest criticisms available?

0 likes in reply to #7 15mo
AA
a.asanteTL2 Moderator21 Apr 2025#95

SOUL (N Engl J Med 2025): Oral semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes. Extends the cardiovascular evidence to the oral formulation. Note that oral bioavailability is lower and more variable than injectable.

0 likes 15mo
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l.oseiTL2 Moderator21 Apr 2025#96

TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it.

18 likes 15mo
HM
h.mensahTL2 Moderator21 Apr 2025#97

SURPASS-2 (N Engl J Med 2021): Direct comparison of tirzepatide with semaglutide 1.0 mg. The 1.0 mg dose is not the highest available, which is the central and legitimate criticism of the head-to-head evidence.

4 likes 15mo
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l.piresTL221 Apr 2025#98
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f.chowdhuryTL2 Moderator21 Apr 2025#99

On post #95 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification.

FLOW (N Engl J Med 2024): Semaglutide renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Stopped early for efficacy. Component-by-component analysis is essential because the components differ in how patient-important they are.

0 likes 15mo
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OstrowskiTL2Member21 Apr 2025#100

I disagree with the reply above, and I think the disagreement is substantive rather than terminological.

The distinction being drawn does not survive when you look at the published data for this specific question. I would be glad to be shown wrong on this, because the version I am arguing against is more convenient.

25 likes 15mo
FN
f.novakTL2 Moderator22 Apr 2025#101
excursion_check, post #65: STEP 1 (N Engl J Med 2021): The pivotal obesity trial for semaglutide and the reference point for most subsequent comparison. Mean weight reduction was substantially larger than anything previously achieved pharmacologically. Go to post

SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation.

7 likes in reply to #65 15mo
TI
trough_indexTL3Regular22 Apr 2025#102
m.balogun, post #43: TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it. Go to post

For anyone arriving from a search: the marked solution above is the direct answer, and the replies underneath it add the caveats that make it safe to use.

1 like in reply to #43 15mo
AN
a.norgaardTL2 Moderator22 Apr 2025#103

On post #99 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification.

STEP 1 (N Engl J Med 2021): The pivotal obesity trial for semaglutide and the reference point for most subsequent comparison. Mean weight reduction was substantially larger than anything previously achieved pharmacologically.

0 likes 15mo
BR
buffer_reviewTL3Regular22 Apr 2025 · edited#104

post #103 answers the question as asked. The question underneath it is different.

SELECT (N Engl J Med 2023): Semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes without diabetes. The first outcome trial in people without diabetes, which decoupled the cardiovascular argument from glucose control. Read the absolute numbers, not just the relative reduction.

18 likes 15mo
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a.cardosoTL2 Moderator22 Apr 2025#105
r.mensa, post #79: SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation. Go to post

Two things before anyone answers the substance.

First, the context in the first post is clear and specific. Second, the question is framed so that an answer can actually address it. Both are the norm here and both matter more than they sound.

4 likes in reply to #79 15mo
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LJankowiakTL3Regular22 Apr 2025#106

PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug.

0 likes 15mo
MA
mi.amankwahTL2 Moderator22 Apr 2025#107

SURMOUNT-OSA (N Engl J Med 2024): Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea, using an objective physiological endpoint. Notable because soft endpoints are avoided. Two parallel trials addressed the confounder directly.

26 likes 15mo
AD
ambient_draftTL322 Apr 2025#108
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ak.kravchenkoTL2 Moderator22 Apr 2025 · edited#109
mira.patel, post #93: Coming back to post #91, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer. TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it. Go to post

Coming back to post #107, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer.

Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent.

2 likes in reply to #93 15mo
TS
t.steenkampTL2Member22 Apr 2025#110

Picking up post #107: that is the part I would want checked first.

STEP 1 (N Engl J Med 2021): The pivotal obesity trial for semaglutide and the reference point for most subsequent comparison. Mean weight reduction was substantially larger than anything previously achieved pharmacologically.

0 likes 15mo
DA
d.achebeTL2 Moderator22 Apr 2025#111

For anyone arriving from a search: the marked solution above is the direct answer, and the replies underneath it add the caveats that make it safe to use.

0 likes 15mo
D
DKwiatkowskiTL3Regular22 Apr 2025#112

SELECT (N Engl J Med 2023): Semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes without diabetes. The first outcome trial in people without diabetes, which decoupled the cardiovascular argument from glucose control. Read the absolute numbers, not just the relative reduction.

3 likes 15mo
HK
h.krastevTL2 Moderator22 Apr 2025#113
a.nwosu, post #37: Worth separating two things that post #33 runs together. SURPASS-2 (N Engl J Med 2021): Direct comparison of tirzepatide with semaglutide 1.0 mg. The 1.0 mg dose is not the highest available, which is the central and legitimate criticism of the head-to-head evidence. Go to post

FLOW (N Engl J Med 2024): Semaglutide renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Stopped early for efficacy. Component-by-component analysis is essential because the components differ in how patient-important they are.

16 likes in reply to #37 15mo
TF
taper_fileTL3Regular22 Apr 2025#114

I read post #112 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite.

SURMOUNT-1 (N Engl J Med 2022): Tirzepatide obesity trial. The largest mean weight reduction for a pharmacological intervention at publication. Read the categorical thresholds carefully — they can exaggerate separation.

32 likes 15mo
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w.verhoevenTL2 Moderator22 Apr 2025 · edited#115

TRIUMPH (ongoing): Retatrutide phase 3. No results yet. Nothing should be attributed to it because it has not finished. When it does, this discussion will return to it.

1 like 15mo
N
NicolaidesTL3Regular22 Apr 2025#116

Having read the exchange above, I think I was wrong earlier in this topic and I want to say so plainly rather than quietly editing.

The correction was fair and I had been repeating something I had not checked carefully enough.

6 likes 15mo
GT
g.tammTL2 Moderator22 Apr 2025#117
p.boateng, post #26: PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug. Go to post

Picking up post #114: that is the part I would want checked first.

Critical appraisal template: (1) What did the trial set out to estimate? (2) Could the design answer that question? (3) Was the population sufficiently similar to your population to apply the results? (4) What was the absolute effect, not just the relative one? (5) What are the two strongest criticisms available?

23 likes in reply to #26 15mo
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NorringtonTL3Regular22 Apr 2025#118

Coming back to post #116, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer.

PIONEER 6 (N Engl J Med 2019): Cardiovascular safety trial for oral semaglutide, not efficacy. Non-inferiority for safety was met. The trial was not designed to establish benefit, though point estimates favoured the drug.

0 likes 15mo
II
i.ilungaTL2 Moderator22 Apr 2025#119

post #118 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit.

SURPASS-2 (N Engl J Med 2021): Direct comparison of tirzepatide with semaglutide 1.0 mg. The 1.0 mg dose is not the highest available, which is the central and legitimate criticism of the head-to-head evidence.

3 likes 15mo
IA
i.aranda_esTL2Translator · ES22 Apr 2025#120
l.chevalier, post #25: post #24 answers the question as asked. The question underneath it is different. Session format: read the paper before posting. The discussion is much better when everyone has. Start with the estimand and population, then methods, then results, then limitations. That order makes critique coherent. Go to post

Worth separating two things that post #116 runs together.

SURMOUNT-OSA (N Engl J Med 2024): Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea, using an objective physiological endpoint. Notable because soft endpoints are avoided. Two parallel trials addressed the confounder directly.

10 likes in reply to #25 15mo