Tags · Evidence
effect size
Magnitude, not just direction or significance.
Related in this group: STEP programme · SURMOUNT programme · SURPASS programme · SELECT trial · FLOW trial · SOUL trial · TRIUMPH programme · PIONEER programme · SUSTAIN programme · LEADER trial · randomised trial · meta-analysis
214 topics · page 5 of 8
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[2026 update] Does dual agonism explain the effect size, or is it dose?
Asking directly, because I could not find a straight answer: Does dual agonism explain the effect size, or is it dose? Session topic: SELECT ( N Engl J Med , 2023). Please read it before posting; the…
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+58 | 63 | 40k | 9mo |
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Journal club: indirect comparison between two programmes, defended and attacked — one year on
Posting this under the heading it deserves: Journal club: indirect comparison between two programmes, defended and attacked — one year on Everything below is what sits behind that. Comparing SURPASS-2 ( N…
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+45 | 50 | 3k | 9mo |
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Conference abstracts as evidence: the weakest common citation
On the subject in the title: Conference abstracts as evidence: the weakest common citation Working notes rather than a conclusion. Session topic: SURMOUNT-1 ( N Engl J Med , 2022). Please read it before…
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+1 | 5 | 2k | 9mo |
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SURMOUNT-4 and what withdrawal data does and does not tell an individual — one year on
Posting this under the heading it deserves: SURMOUNT-4 and what withdrawal data does and does not tell an individual — one year on Everything below is what sits behind that. Comparing SURPASS-2 ( N Engl J Med…
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+122 | 136 | 48k | 9mo |
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A preprint whose numbers changed substantially at publication
A preprint whose numbers changed substantially at publication — setting out what I have, and where I think it stops being reliable. Session topic: SURMOUNT-2 ( Lancet , 2023). Please read it before posting;…
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+90 | 95 | 21k | 9mo |
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What the GIP component of tirzepatide is thought to contribute, and how confident we can be — the long version
Asking directly, because I could not find a straight answer: What the GIP component of tirzepatide is thought to contribute, and how confident we can be — the long version Comparing PIONEER 6 ( N Engl J Med ,…
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+48 | 52 | 609 | 10mo |
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Comparing tirzepatide and semaglutide is harder than the tables suggest
Posting this under the heading it deserves: Comparing tirzepatide and semaglutide is harder than the tables suggest Everything below is what sits behind that. Comparing SCALE ( N Engl J Med , 2015) with STEP…
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2 | 3.8k | 10mo | |
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Cagrilintide's dosing interval and the pharmacokinetics behind it
Cagrilintide's dosing interval and the pharmacokinetics behind it — setting out what I have, and where I think it stops being reliable. Comparing LEADER ( N Engl J Med , 2016) with SELECT ( N Engl J Med ,…
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+98 | 105 | 24k | 10mo |
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Citing a preprint in a maintained document: our rule and its reasoning — does this still hold?
The question in the title: Citing a preprint in a maintained document: our rule and its reasoning — does this still hold? I will give what I have already checked below so nobody repeats it. I have seen LEADER…
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+103 | 115 | 24k | 10mo |
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Second pass at: Triple agonism: additive, synergistic, or neither?
Second pass at: Triple agonism: additive, synergistic, or neither? — that is the question, and I have not found it answered plainly anywhere I have looked. I have seen STEP 8 ( JAMA , 2022) cited in support…
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+114 | 120 | 1.4k | 10mo |
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Reporting a disappointing outcome, and why it belongs here
Reporting a disappointing outcome, and why it belongs here Writing it up because I had to work it out twice and would rather nobody else did. Longitudinal report with the method stated, because a number…
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+21 | 29 | 62k | 10mo |
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Journal club: STEP 3 and the intensive behavioural therapy floor — does this still hold?
The question in the title: Journal club: STEP 3 and the intensive behavioural therapy floor — does this still hold? I will give what I have already checked below so nobody repeats it. Session topic: STEP 4 (…
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2 | 15k | 10mo | |
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The retatrutide phase 2 obesity paper, read closely
Posting this under the heading it deserves: The retatrutide phase 2 obesity paper, read closely Everything below is what sits behind that. Session topic: STEP 8 ( JAMA , 2022). Please read it before posting;…
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2 | 65k | 10mo | |
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[2026 update] What the GIP component of tirzepatide is thought to contribute, and how confident we can be
The question in the title: What the GIP component of tirzepatide is thought to contribute, and how confident we can be I will give what I have already checked below so nobody repeats it. Comparing STEP 4 (…
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+109 | 124 | 31k | 10mo |
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Follow-up: Journal club: orforglipron phase 2 and the non-peptide question
Posting this under the heading it deserves: Journal club: orforglipron phase 2 and the non-peptide question Everything below is what sits behind that. Session topic: SURMOUNT-4 ( JAMA , 2024). Please read it…
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+80 | 91 | 10k | 11mo |
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When a preprint is the best available evidence and we say so
When a preprint is the best available evidence and we say so — that is the question, and I have not found it answered plainly anywhere I have looked. I have seen SURPASS-2 ( N Engl J Med , 2021) cited in…
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+148 | 160 | 31k | 11mo |
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[2026 update] What we do not know about retatrutide, listed explicitly
What we do not know about retatrutide, listed explicitly — that is the question, and I have not found it answered plainly anywhere I have looked. Comparing SCALE ( N Engl J Med , 2015) with STEP 2 ( Lancet ,…
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+79 | 83 | 952 | 11mo |
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Journal club: STEP-HFpEF and symptom endpoints
Journal club: STEP-HFpEF and symptom endpoints — setting out what I have, and where I think it stops being reliable. Comparing SURMOUNT-2 ( Lancet , 2023) with SURMOUNT-1 ( N Engl J Med , 2022) and finding…
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+18 | 22 | 2.5k | 11mo |
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The CagriSema phase 2 paper and what a fixed combination buys
Posting this under the heading it deserves: The CagriSema phase 2 paper and what a fixed combination buys Everything below is what sits behind that. I have seen SURPASS-2 ( N Engl J Med , 2021) cited in…
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+88 | 93 | 29k | 11mo |
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SURMOUNT-4 and what withdrawal data does and does not tell an individual
SURMOUNT-4 and what withdrawal data does and does not tell an individual — setting out what I have, and where I think it stops being reliable. Comparing SURMOUNT-2 ( Lancet , 2023) with STEP 8 ( JAMA , 2022)…
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4 | 42k | 11mo | |
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Risk-of-bias tools and the judgement they conceal
Risk-of-bias tools and the judgement they conceal Writing it up because I had to work it out twice and would rather nobody else did. I have seen STEP 1 ( N Engl J Med , 2021) cited in support of a claim I do…
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+8 | 12 | 21k | 11mo |
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Criticising the method without criticising the authors — one year on
On the subject in the title: Criticising the method without criticising the authors — one year on Working notes rather than a conclusion. Session topic: STEP 2 ( Lancet , 2021). Please read it before posting;…
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+16 | 20 | 61k | 11mo |
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Follow-up: What is genuinely unknown about long-term amylin agonism
What is genuinely unknown about long-term amylin agonism I have a specific reason for asking rather than idle curiosity, and the context is below. I have seen SUSTAIN 6 ( N Engl J Med , 2016) cited in support…
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2 | 25k | 11mo | |
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Tirzepatide molecular mass and the charge states you would expect on ESI
Tirzepatide molecular mass and the charge states you would expect on ESI Writing it up because I had to work it out twice and would rather nobody else did. I have seen SUSTAIN 6 ( N Engl J Med , 2016) cited…
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+36 | 40 | 44k | 11mo |
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Why most self-reports here are not experiments, and that is fine
Why most self-reports here are not experiments, and that is fine — that is the question, and I have not found it answered plainly anywhere I have looked. I have seen SURPASS-2 ( N Engl J Med , 2021) cited in…
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2 | 46k | 11mo | |
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The "under review" status pill and when a moderator applies it — a second dataset
The "under review" status pill and when a moderator applies it — a second dataset Writing it up because I had to work it out twice and would rather nobody else did. I have seen SURPASS-4 ( Lancet , 2021)…
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+50 | 54 | 1.4k | 11mo |
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[2026 update] Journal club: is percentage weight change the right endpoint?
Journal club: is percentage weight change the right endpoint? — that is the question, and I have not found it answered plainly anywhere I have looked. Comparing SURPASS-2 ( N Engl J Med , 2021) with…
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+105 | 118 | 18k | 11mo |
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Reading a combination trial: attributing effect to components
On the subject in the title: Reading a combination trial: attributing effect to components Working notes rather than a conclusion. Session topic: PIONEER 6 ( N Engl J Med , 2019). Please read it before…
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4 | 19k | 11mo | |
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[2026 update] Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea: reading SURMOUNT-OSA
Tirzepatide in obstructive sleep apnoea: reading SURMOUNT-OSA — setting out what I have, and where I think it stops being reliable. I have seen STEP 4 ( JAMA , 2021) cited in support of a claim I do not think…
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2 | 58k | 11mo | |
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Multiplicity when you track fifteen variables
Multiplicity when you track fifteen variables — setting out what I have, and where I think it stops being reliable. Comparing LEADER ( N Engl J Med , 2016) with SURMOUNT-OSA ( N Engl J Med , 2024) and finding…
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2 | 60k | 11mo |